EU trade with US hits record high despite tariff tensions, study shows

By Maria Martinez and Rene Wagner

BERLIN, July 3 (Reuters) - Trade in goods between the European Union and the U.S. reached a record €875 billion ($1.00 trillion) last year despite tariffs, but the figures mask significant economic damage, notably to Germany's auto sector, a study published on Friday found.

The research by the German Economic Institute, or IW, found a 7.7% rise in EU exports to the U.S. to €580 billion, while U.S. imports into the EU climbed 2.2% to €295 billion, pushing the EU's trade surplus to nearly €285 billion.

The report attributed some of the increase to front-loading of exports ahead of tariffs that took effect in April and said European manufacturing had suffered.

"This first impression is misleading," said IW economist Samina Sultan.

EU car and parts exports to the U.S. fell 20.4% in 2025, with Germany, which accounts for nearly two-thirds of EU auto exports to the United States, posting an 18.9% drop.

Ireland bucked the trend with a 52.7% surge in exports, driven by tariff-exempt pharmaceutical and chemical products.

Most EU member states recorded a decline in their goods exports to the U.S. Apart from Ireland only the Czech Republic (+5.1%), Italy (+7.2%), Denmark (+10.6%) and Finland (+10.8%) reported growth.

TRANSATLANTIC SERVICES ALSO HIT A RECORD

Transatlantic services trade also hit a record €865 billion, though the EU ran a €178 billion deficit in that category.

"The transatlantic trade relationship is therefore much more balanced, when considering both goods and service trade," the study said, contrasting the EU deficit in services and the surplus in goods.

Intellectual property fees - covering software licences, patents and trademarks - accounted for more than 40% of EU service imports from the U.S., rising 13.7%.

Although the services sector has so far avoided the impact of U.S. tariffs, the trade conflict has had a negative effect.

EU imports of travel services from the U.S. fell by around 8%. "This decline is likely attributable to the reduced number of European tourists in the U.S. last year," said co-author Galina Kolev-Schaefer.

The study said the Turnberry trade deal between the EU and the U.S. asymmetrically benefited the U.S., but still it was a workable solution that should be honoured by both sides. 

"New tariff threats would cause new uncertainty that only hampers business activities on both sides of the Atlantic," the IW said. 

($1 = 0.8730 euros)

(Reporting by Maria Martinez and Rene WagnerEditing by Miranda Murray and Barbara Lewis)